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us-open-2026-predictions
Phil Simon
August 28th 2026 - 13 min read

U.S. Open 2026: Predictions, Odds, Favorites & Betting Preview

Main draw matches at the 2026 US Open begin on Sunday, August 30 with players having one last chance to claim a Grand Slam title in the season’s final marquee event. Injuries to some of the top players on the men’s side have blown that bracket wide open creating space for Novak Djokovic to win his record 25th Grand Slam title. On the women’s side, two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka is the US Open odds favorite to become the first three-peat champion since Serena Williams more than a decade ago.

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2026 US Open Overview

Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka headline the 2026 US Open betting boards as pre-tournament favorites ahead of the final Grand Slam event of the season. Alcaraz climbed the board following the sudden withdrawal of world No. 1 Jannik Sinner due to a knee injury. Alcaraz is the defending champion having beaten Sinner in four sets last year. However, Alcaraz is a huge question mark since he hasn’t played a competitive match since April due to a severe wrist injury. That has left the men’s side of the US Open draw wide open.

What Is the US Open Tennis Championship?

  • The US Open is the fourth and final Grand Slam tournament of the tennis season that takes place annually in New York.
  • Known for its electric atmosphere, matches played under the lights, and celebrity-filled crowds, the tournament is one of the most prestigious sporting events in the world.
  • Five primary championships will be crowned over the two weeks: Men’s and Women’s Singles, Men’s and Women’s Doubles, and Mixed Doubles, along with junior and wheelchair tournaments.

Why the US Open Is One of Tennis’ Biggest Events

  • As the last of four Grand Slam events and boasting the largest prize purse in tennis, the US Open is a high-stakes conclusion to the major tennis season.
  • Played on the most common hard court surface globally, the US Open attracts the deepest most competitive field of the year.
  • With a capacity of over 23,000, Arthur Ashe Stadium is the largest in tennis creating an atmosphere unmatched by any other venue in the sport.

US Open Location: Queens, NY

Since 1978 the US Open has been played in Flushing Meadows-Corona Park in the northern part of the New York City borough of Queens. The United States Tennis Association (USTA) Billie Jean King National Tennis Center is a stadium complex within the park that hosts the event. The facility has 22 courts with the four stadiums at the complex among the largest tennis stadiums in the world.

Where Is the US Open Played?

  • Since 1978 the US Open has been played on acrylic hard courts at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York.
  • Arthur Ashe Stadium is the main stadium for the US Open tennis tournament hosting marquee matches, including the men’s and women’s singles finals. With a capacity of more than 23,000 it is the largest tennis stadium in the world.
  • A lightweight retractable roof was completed at the stadium in 2016 after successive years of delays due to inclement weather.

USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center Overview

  • The USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center is a world-class 46.5 acre sports complex serving as the permanent home of the US Open.
  • The facility contains 22 courts within its main gates and is anchored by four of the largest capacity tennis stadiums in the world.
  • All courts are constructed with official Laykold cushioned acrylic hard-court technology to achieve uniform tournament pace consistency.
  • Outside of the US Open window, the center is open to the public to book court times, join camps or take lessons from USTA staff.

US Open Schedule

The 2026 US Open will run from August 23 to September 13 with the main draw tournament beginning on Sunday, August 30. The final match of the tournament is the men’s singles final that is scheduled to be played on Sunday, September 13. That match is preceded by the women’s singles final and men’s doubles final on Saturday, September 12. Each of the first four rounds of US Open matches will take place over two days until the quarterfinals begin on Tuesday, September 8.

Key Dates for the 2026 US Open

  • After fan week and qualifying, the main draw of the US Open schedule starts on Sunday, August 30.
  • The women’s singles semifinals will be played on September 10 with the men’s semifinals on September 11.
  • The women’s bracket will crown a singles champion on Saturday, September 12 with the men’s winner decided on Sunday, September 13.

Main Draw and Round-by-Round Schedule

  • The main draw of the US Open schedule begins with first round action spanning three days from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.
  • The next three rounds of US Open matches will each be played over two days from Sep. 2 to Sep. 7.
  • Quarterfinal rounds are set for Sep. 8-9 with the semifinals scheduled for Sep. 10-11.
  • The Women’s Singles Final is set for the afternoon of Sep. 12 with Men’s Singles Final scheduled for the afternoon of Sep. 13.

US Open Matches to Watch

The finals on both the men’s and women’s side are must-see TV for any tennis fan with intriguing storylines entering the 2026 US Open. With the withdrawal of World No. 1 Jannik Sinner and with betting favorite Carlos Alcaraz rusty after going months without competitive matches, the door is open for Novak Djokovic to win his record 25th Grand Slam title. And with his career winding down there aren’t many more opportunities to watch Djokovic in a tennis major.

Men’s Singles Matches

  • It’s been more than two decades since an American has won the US Open men’s singles title. Ben Shelton has a chance to end that drought with a potential quarterfinal round blockbuster lined up against Carlos Alcaraz.
  • Any match featuring Novak Djokovic is worth watching as he aims for a fifth US Open title and 25th Grand Slam win.

Women’s Singles Matches

  • Two-time defending champ Aryna Sabalenka gets an opening test against fiery Colombian Camila Osorio.
  • Given a wildcard entry into the US Open, two-time champion Venus Williams gets an immediate primetime blockbuster against a fellow Grand Slam champion.

US Open Odds

Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka lead the US Open odds as the tennis betting outright favorites. The men’s bracket underwent a massive shift when world No. 1 Jannik Sinner suddenly withdrew due to a bothersome knee injury. That move sent Alcaraz to the top of the odds board despite his own wrist injury that kept him on the shelf for several months. Fresh off his first Grand Slam title at the French Open, Alexander Zverev is the No. 1 seed in the men’s draw and the second favorite.

Seeking a rare three-peat at the US Open, Aryna Sabalenka is the player to beat followed closely on the US Open odds by Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff, the last two US Open winners before Sabalenka’s run.

Current US Open Odds Table

Men’s 2026 US Open Odds

  • Carlos Alcaraz +176
  • Alexander Zverev +316
  • Novak Djokovic +702
  • Ben Shelton +855
  • Arthur Fils +1150
  • Taylor Fritz +1230
  • Rafael Jodar +1355
  • Felix Auger Aliassime +2629
  • Daniil Medvedev +2659
  • Brandon Nakashima +3563

Women’s 2026 US Open Odds

  • Aryna Sabalenka +305
  • Iga Swiatek +505
  • Coco Gauff +550
  • Elena Rybakina +956
  • Naomi Osaka +1050
  • Jessica Pegula +1150
  • Amanda Anisimova +1250
  • Mirra Andreeva +1450
  • Marta Kostyuk +1650
  • Alexandra Eala +2050

Biggest Odds Movement

  • The biggest US Open odds movement was triggered by the withdrawal of top-ranked Jannik Sinner, who sat as the outright favorite in early betting markets.
  • Alexander Zverev shot up the odds board and to the top seed following Sinner’s exit moving from between +600 and +800 to now around +300.
  • Positioned as the fourth-favorite in the women’s bracket, Elena Rybakina saw her price drift out following an untimely Achilles injury sustained at the Cincinnati Open.

US Open Picks

With Jannik Sinner out and Carlos Alcaraz inactive from competitive tennis since April, the men’s side of the draw is open for the taking. Alexander Zverev has emerged as the smart US Open pick to win with a cleaner patch to the final. However, if a surprise winner is to surface this is the time. Coco Gauff stands out as a value pick on the women’s side as a former champion with strong momentum coming in.

Best Value Picks

  • Tennis experts have pegged 2023 champion Coco Gauff as the best middle-of-the-board US Open pick for value. She recently won the Cincinnati Open and has a 40-13 singles record.
  • With his side of the bracket open after the WD of Sinner, Ben Shelton is eyeing a title. His dominant serve and powerful baseline game are suited for hard surfaces.
  • Peaking at the right time, Taylor Fritz has surfaced as a value US Open pick. He’s won 19 of his last 25 main draw matches with a dominant hard-court stretch.

Longshot Picks to Watch

  • Tennis analysts have marked Arthur Fils as a longshot US Open prediction. He confidently enters the tournament after his first ATP Masters 1000 title at the Cincinnati Open.
  • On the women’s side Amanda Anisimova has been identified as a longshot US Open pick to watch. Her side of the bracket got relief with an injury to Elena Rybakina giving Anisimova a chance to display her resurgent hard-court power.

US Open Predictions

The path for players further down the US Open odds board opened up significantly with Jannik Sinner out and a few frontrunners nursing ailments. Though Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite, fading him is a good move since he hasn’t played competitively in about four months. As a fan I’d like to see Novak Djokovic win, but the timing is right for American Ben Shelton. It’s cliché to back the favorite, but if Aryna Sabalenka is on she’s hard to beat, making her the US Open prediction to win.

Key Factors for US Open Predictions

  • Coming at the end of a long season, physical wear and tear dictates the betting board.
  • The hard courts used for US Open matches give a mathematical edge to players with elite spot serving and heavy, flat ground strokes.
  • Identifying a soft side of the bracket where a high-seed is injured or ailing allows bettors to spot lower or unseeded longshots.

Players Who Fit the Hard-Court Surface

  • With a game that’s a fit for the hard courts at the US Open, Ben Shelton has materialized as a value pick. He thrives on the surface with a heavy left-handed serve and raw baseline power.
  • There’s a reason why Aryna Sabalenka has won the US Open tennis title two years in a row. She designed the blueprint for success at Flushing Meadow with her speed and power.

US Open Standings and Draw Updates

Since main draw matches have yet to start there are no live results or US Open standings. However, the draw updates have set storylines with potential noteworthy paths. The bottom half of the men’s bracket features every former US Open champion in the field while Alexander Zverev slides into the top seed in the upper half. Aryna Sabalenka begins her quest for a US Open three-peat as the top-seed in the upper part of the bracket along with top-ranked American Jessica Pegula and Wimbledon champ Linda Noskova.

Tournament Draw and Player Progression

  • Alexander Zverev has the most open path to the final as the No. 1 seed. He avoids all former champions in his bracket until the final US Open match.
  • US Open betting favorite Carlos Alcaraz has a more difficult road in his return from a months-long absence. His projected path includes matchups with Ben Shelton and Novak Djokovic.
  • No. 2 seed on the women’s side, Iga Swiatek has a clear road to the quarterfinals with a potential matchup against Mirra Andreeva waiting.

How to Track US Open Standings

  • You can track US Open standings through several professional tennis tracking outlets.
  • The official US Open website is the primary source for tournament information.
  • As the exclusive US broadcast home of US Open matches, ESPN and its networks feature integrated digital bracket tracking.

How to Watch US Open Tennis

The 2026 US Open tennis tournament will be broadcast exclusively on ESPN in the United States with comprehensive coverage across its family of networks and streaming platforms. ABC will feature extensive coverage on opening day as well as marquee matchups throughout the tournament in addition to the men’s singles final that concludes tournament coverage on Sep. 13.

TV and Streaming Coverage

  • ESPN and its networks have exclusive television rights to the US Open schedule and will air programming daily throughout the tournament.
  • You can watch US Open high-profile matches as well as the men’s singles final on ABC.
  • ESPN+ and the ESPN app stream live ball-to-ball coverage across every tournament court.
  • International regions have different television rights holders. If outside the United States check your local listings.

Daily Viewing Schedule

  • The daily broadcast schedule is split into day sessions that start at 11 a.m. ET, and night sessions starting at 7 p.m. ET across the two-week tournament.
  • The women’s singles semifinals air at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday Sep. 10 with the men’s semifinals the next day at 3 p.m. ET.
  • Both singles final matches start at 4 p.m. ET with the women on Sep. 12 on ESPN and the men playing on Sep. 13 on ABC.

Betting Guide for the US Open

The 2026 US Open odds on the men’s side were disrupted following the removal of Jannik Sinner from the field due to injury. Oddsmakers scrambled to adjust the US Open predictions with vulnerable Carlos Alcaraz positioned as the men’s singles betting favorite. Backing an inactive Alcaraz at a premium price is a risky move and one that most experts agree not to take. That moved French Open champion Alexander Zverev up the board where he is now positioned as the US Open predictions sharp pick to win.

Match Winner Bets

  • With the official draw for US Open matches revealed several opening round US Open picks have been identified.
  • One of the hottest players of the late summer hard court swing, Arthur Fils is worth backing in his opening match against Stefanos Tsitsipas.
  • Her first round opponent is TBD but it shouldn’t matter for Amanda Anisimova, who displayed her hard court power game throughout the summer swing. Her path to the quarterfinals softened with a compromised Elena Rybakina in her bracket.

Set Betting, Totals, and Futures

  • Due to his lengthy layoff, experts are saying to fade the 3-0 set betting strategy for Carlos Alcaraz. Instead, target his opponents, as you will be betting that Alcaraz will drop at least one set early in the week until he gets more comfortable.
  • In matches involving big servers like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, target the OVER on game totals. The hard surface makes it tough to break these players leading to prolonged sets and tiebreakers.
  • The best value picks in the US Open futures market are Coco Gauff on the women’s side and either Alexander Zverev or Ben Shelton on the men’s side. Zverev lost some value when his odds shortened following the WD Jannik Sinner.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the 2026 US Open?

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The 2026 US Open is the 146th edition of the premier tennis tournament and the final Grand Slam event of the tennis year. The two-week tournament runs from August 30 to September 30 and is played at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

Where is the US Open location?

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Located in the Flushing Meadows-Corona Park area in the borough of Queens, New York City, the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center has been the US Open location since 1978. The main court at Arthur Ashe Stadium is the largest tennis stadium in the world.

Where can I find the US Open schedule?

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The most accurate real-time daily US Open schedule can be found on the official schedule of play page at usopen.org. Other major sports news platforms have complete US Open matches and results.

What are the latest US Open odds?

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The defending champions on the men’s and women’s side are the consensus betting favorites in the latest US Open odds. Carlos Alcaraz has the shortest odds on the men’s side following the withdrawal of World No. 1 Jannik Sinner. Aryna Sabalenka is favored to win her third straight US Open title.

How can I watch US Open tennis?

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ESPN Networks and ABC provided live coverage of US Open tennis. Comprehensive online coverage is provided across on ESPN+ and the ESPN app. International broadcast rights are distributed across different regions. Check your local listings.

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