Sunday Night Baseball: Red Sox vs Yankees Odds & Picks

A national audience returns to ESPN on Sunday night as the Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The stakes are high in the AL East, and the spotlight is on a contrast of styles: Dustin May’s power arsenal against Carlos Rodón’s left-handed polish. With playoff positioning on the line, the intensity level should be even higher than it normally is when the Red Sox take on the Yankees. The Yankees will be listed as the home favorite in MLB odds for this matchup.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Game Preview

Boston’s plan starts with May delivering steadier length. His mid-to-upper-90s fastball and sharp breaking ball can overwhelm, but the key is first-pitch strikes and avoiding the extra baserunner that flips an inning. If he gives Boston five to six competitive frames, the bullpen can line up more cleanly and keep this within striking distance. The Red Sox can’t afford early pitch-count spikes that expose the middle relief.

Offensively, Boston leans on a different core now. Jarren Duran sets the tone with speed and gap contact, while Alex Bregman is now the big bat in the lineup, Wilyer Abreu brings the left-handed thump that can change an inning and Trevor Story drives in runs when traffic is created.

Rodón’s value is predictability in the best sense: repeatable mechanics, consistent tempo, and a fastball/slider foundation that keeps right-handed hitters honest. When he lands the slider early, it expands the zone for the heater at the letters and a well-timed changeup.

New York’s lineup still carries game-breaking power. Aaron Judge is the MVP force in the middle, and Cody Bellinger has proven to be a reliable option hitting behind Judge in the lineup, while Paul Goldschmidt has bounced back with a strong season and not to be forgotten is the thump of Giancarlo Stanton.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Predictions

Expect a tight, low-scoring tilt in baseball betting decided by execution rather than fireworks. May’s path to success is simple but demanding: get ahead, keep the ball off the barrel, and trust the outfield defense. Rodón’s track record gives New York the slight edge because his floor is higher; even without elite velocity, his sequencing keeps big innings off the board. In a rivalry game, one mistake, a missed spot to Judge, hanging breaker to Bregman, can swing the night.

Boston’s most likely scoring script is Duran on, Story cashing him in, or Bregman ambushing a mistake. For New York, it is all about Judge showing his MVP form. If May limits free passes and keeps double plays available, the Red Sox can push this into a coin flip after six. The lean, though, remains with Rodón guiding the Yankees to a narrow win.

Final score prediction: Yankees 4, Red Sox 3.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Tips

• Moneyline: Lean Yankees. Rodón’s consistency and New York’s late-inning options provide a sturdier base in a close game.
• Total: Slight lean to the under given both starters’ ability to suppress damage when ahead in counts.
• Props: Aaron Judge total bases is live in primetime; Dustin May strikeouts carry upside if he lands the breaker; Jarren Duran to score a run has value if he reaches early.
• First five under has appeal with both starters capable of settling in quickly.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Head-To-Head and Key Stats

• Probable pitchers: Dustin May (BOS) vs. Carlos Rodón (NYY). May brings strikeout upside but must manage traffic; Rodón offers a higher floor with efficient sequencing.
• Current form and context:
  • Yankees own a strong home mark and enter with recent momentum in the Bronx.
  • Boston’s road record is below .500, putting extra emphasis on starting pitching efficiency.
  • Standings are tight; a single win can swing both the division chase and wild-card jockeying.
• Lineup focal points:
  • Red Sox: Bregman’s power, Duran’s table-setting, Abreu’s left-handed power and Story’s run production.
  • Yankees: Judge’s game-breaking power with support from Bellinger and some extra pop from players like Grisham and Goldschmidt.
• What decides it:
  • Strike-one rate for May vs. patient Yankees hitters.
  • Rodón’s ability to neutralize Boston’s left-handed bats.
  • Clean defense and winning the free-bases battle (walks, HBPs, extra 90s).