Rangers at Lightning Odds, Picks & Predictions

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NHL

When the New York Rangers hired Mike Sullivan away from the Pittsburgh Penguins, gamblers and fans took notice.

The Rangers were considered the biggest underachievers against the NHL odds last year.

At the onset of the 2024-25 campaign, New York was favored only to miss the playoffs instead.

After a slow start, the Rangers are beginning to find their way.

The Tampa Bay Lightning stumbled out of the gate.

But the Lightning finally found the next gear in recent days.

Tampa Bay has been one of the hottest teams on ice.

Those who wrote off Tampa Bay as over the hill are having to re-evaluate that perception.

Rangers at Lightning Preview

On Wednesday, November 12, 2025, the Tampa Bay Lightning will host the New York Rangers at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL. Faceoff time is 7 p.m. ET with television coverage on TNT.

Public Betting Odds Factors

Of course, the Rangers are one of the most popular teams on the board.
New York is an Original Six legacy franchise with generational appeal.
Additionally, Sullivan has raised the expectations of New York this season.
Tampa Bay remains a respected brand with gamblers.
Since 2000, Tampa Bay has made three Stanley Cup Finals, winning two.
Head coach Jon Cooper has maintained Tampa Bay’s playoff contender status.

Rangers at Lightning Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider

The Rangers are struggling to score goals and convert power plays.
New York is near the bottom of all offensive metrics.
The Lightning will get an unusually good home price because of the Rangers' popularity and the even matchup.
Tampa Bay is in good form and owns the Rangers in this series.

Rangers at Lightning Prime Best Bet: Tampa Bay Lightning

Rangers at Lightning Betting Tips

New York Rangers

New York ranks 31st in goals scored and 32nd in power-play efficiency. In comparison on defense, the Rangers have NHL rankings of 4th for goals against and 9th for penalty killing.
The New York Rangers are 7-7-2 straight up and 5-11 over/under the total. Also, New York is 12th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings.
New York is six points behind the New Jersey Devils in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
New York has covered four out of their last six games.
The Rangers have gone under the NHL betting total in five of their previous six matchups.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay ranks 17th in goals scored and 24th in power-play efficiency. In comparison on defense, the Lightning have NHL rankings of 9th for goals against and 4th for penalty killing.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 8-5-2 straight up and 6-9 over/under the total. Also, Tampa Bay is 6th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings.
Tampa Bay is four points behind the New Jersey Devils in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
Tampa Bay has covered five out of its last eight games.
The Lightning have gone under the total in nine of their previous 11 matchups.

Rangers at Lightning Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Late on, the Rangers have been a good betting value on the road.
New York got the cash in seven of its most recent nine away games.
The Rangers went over the total in seven of their last 11 road tilts.
Although they won three consecutive home games, Tampa Bay lost six straight on home ice before that.
The Lightning went over the total in 12 of their most recent 16 home tilts.
In the series between the Rangers and Lightning, Tampa Bay got the cash in eight of the most recent 13 meetings.
The Rangers and Lightning went over the total in only five of their last 17 games.
Specifically in Tampa Bay, the Lightning have dominated the Rangers, winning nine of their last 12 games against them.
Only two of the last seven games between the Rangers and Lightning at Tampa Bay went over the total.