Purdue at OSU Expert Betting Insights

Time is running out on Ohio State to pick up quality wins to uplift their NCAA Tournament resume. They blew a chance falling to No. 15 Michigan State last weekend falling to 1-7 against nationally ranked opponents.

A 3-game skid last month hindered Purdue’s chances of winning the Big Ten regular season title and exposed some weaknesses in their lineup. They have since recovered, though, winning 5 of 6 games ahead of a showdown with Michigan State on Thursday. Purdue seeks to end a 2-game losing streak to OSU in Sunday’s showdown.

Purdue at Ohio State Preview

The only regular season meeting of the season between the Purdue Boilermakers and Ohio State Buckeyes takes place on Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:30 p.m. ET from Value City Arena in Columbus, OH. The Big Ten matchup will air on CBS.

Public Betting Odds Factors

A big part of Purdue’s success the last several seasons has been continuity in the roster. The team’s three leading scorers are all seniors in their fourth year with the program. One of the best post players in the conference, Trey Kaufman-Renn averages 13.3 points and 9.0 rebounds.

The backcourt of Braden Smith and Fletcher combine to average nearly 30 points with Smith second in the Big Ten averaging 8.7 assists. They are the backbone of a club that shoots better than 50 percent from the field and averages 82.9 points.

The trio combined to shoot 72 percent and scored 53 points in the 93-64 win over Indiana last week helping Purdue rebound from a loss to No. 1 Michigan. It was the Boilermakers 5th win in 6 games and their 4th payout on the college basketball betting line in that span.

Outside of winning the Big Ten tournament the Buckeyes have a slim chance of getting an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. They can only blame themselves. OSU is 1-7 against ranked foes with their lone win coming last week against No. 24 Wisconsin. And they haven’t recorded a Quad 1 win this season.

The return of Devin Royal and John Mobley couldn’t help OSU from losing a second straight game and third in the last 4. Between them the duo averages 29 points and was absent in a 6-point loss to Michigan State on Sunday. They were in the lineup in Wednesday’s loss to Iowa.

OSU’s 3 lowest scoring games of the season have come in the last 6 outings and they failed to reach 60 in their loss to Iowa cashing the UNDER on the college basketball odds in 4 straight games and in 5 of their last 6.

Purdue at Ohio State Predictions

Given their lack of success against elite teams it’s hard to trust OSU in this matchup. Purdue is a solid top 10 squad with veteran leadership and will not cave in trying circumstances. Kaufman-Renn is one of the top players in the league and the backcourt makes few mistakes.

Purdue has the second-best road record in the Big Ten at 7-2 overall and 6-3 ATS. The Boilermakers have won their last 3 Big Ten road games with payouts in each one making them a smart choice to cover the line.

Purdue at Ohio State Betting Tips

Purdue has won 5 of its last 6 games and is 4-2 against the NCAA basketball spread in that stretch.

OSU will have more rest and the home court advantage. They are 12-3 SU at home this season, but all three defeats came in Big Ten play.

The Buckeyes had a season-low point total in Wednesday’s 74-57 loss to Iowa and have cashed the UNDER in 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7.

Purdue at Ohio State Head to Head and Key Stats

The Buckeyes have upset wins in the last 2 meetings. They snapped a 4-game losing streak in the series with a 73-69 home win as a 7.5-point underdog near the end of the 23-24 season. They won 73-70 as a 10-point road dog last season.

Prior to OSU’s 2-game streak Purdue had won 4 straight matchups and 6 of 7 with 5 payouts in that span. The only setback was in OT when Purdue was a 1.5-point dog.