Phillies vs. Braves Predictions & Betting Tips
On Saturday night, the Atlanta Braves have a challenging NL East opportunity against the Philadelphia Phillies. It's the most important series of the season. The Atlanta Braves have dug themselves a huge hole in the 2025 National League pennant race. The Braves have been 10 or more games out of the lead in the National League East for most of the season. Similarly to last year, injuries have played a role in the Braves' demise. However, the worst may be over for the Braves. Now, Atlanta is playing its best baseball of the season. But the Phillies will not be an easy out. Philadelphia is also in good form and playing with confidence.
Phillies vs. Braves Game Preview
On Saturday, June 28, 2025, the Atlanta Braves will host the Philadelphia Phillies at Truist Park in Cumberland, GA. Game time is 7:15 p.m. ET with television coverage on FOX.
The Phillies have a winning overall record but against the money line they are just about .500 and they have lost money for gamblers in road games. The Phillies' newfound success and three consecutive playoff seasons have impressed the public. Philadelphia has never had more widespread brand recognition at the betting window but that hasn’t always translated to success against the money line.
Atlanta started off very slowly this season and they still have a losing record straight up against the money line. Also, Atlanta has a losing mark against the run line. Of course, the Atlanta Braves are one of the most popular teams on the MLB betting board. The masses love Atlanta for its consistent winning and seven consecutive playoff seasons. Especially when the Braves play at Truist Park, the casual sector places heavy bets on them. In turn, this often causes inflationary prices and a loss of value vs. the oddsmakers.
Phillies vs. Braves Predictions
In this situation, the Braves will get a reasonable price at home against a popular and respected opponent and Atlanta is playing its best baseball of the season.
The Phillies are 10th in runs per game at 4.67 per contest. They rank 5th in batting average at .256 and they are just 17th in home runs. They are 12th in team ERA at 3.86 and they are 1st in quality starts. Kyle Schwarber is the man to watch for the Phillies. Schwarber has produced 57 runs, nine doubles, 24 home runs, 55 runs batted in, and a .920 OPS.
The Braves are averaging 4.22 runs per game which is 20th in the league. They are 19th in batting average and 19th in home runs. They are 10th in team ERA at 3.66 and 5th in quality starts. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 44 runs, 18 doubles, 15 home runs, 49 runs batted in with a .833 OPS. Marcel Ozuna adds 33 runs, ten doubles, 11 home runs, 40 runs batted in, and a .796 OPS.
Phillies vs. Braves Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Phillies and Braves split their last 20 games in this National League East rivalry series. Atlanta and Philadelphia went under the total in 11 of those 20 matchups. Specifically in Atlanta, the Braves got the cash in six of their most recent eight games against the Phillies. Only six of the last 17 games between the Braves and Phillies in Atlanta went over the total.
Overall, the Braves were 35-41 in their first 76 games with an over/under record of 29-41-6. Lately, Atlanta has secured the cash in six of its most recent nine games. Only two of Atlanta’s most recent eight games went over the total. Now, Atlanta is 9.5 games behind the Phillies in the National League East.
Phillies vs. Braves Betting Tips
The Phillies currently hold first place in the National League East. Philadelphia was 47-31 in their first 78 games with an over/under mark of 35-40-3. The Phillies got the money in nine of their most recent 11 games. Philadelphia went under the total in five of their last nine games.
Philadelphia ranks 8th for run production, 7th for OPS, 15th for home runs, 17th for earned run average, 1st for quality starts, and 4th for fewest errors committed. Philadelphia ranks 20th for bullpen ERA and is using a committee approach for its closer.
Overall, Atlanta ranks 19th for run production, 17th for OPS, 18th for home runs, 10th for earned run average, 6th for quality starts, and 3rd for fewest errors committed. The Braves rank 23rd for bullpen ERA. Raisel Iglesias is the Atlanta closer but his ERA is high at over five and he has already blown four saves this season.
