Patriots at Ravens Odds Today | NFL Betting Lines & Picks

There are major playoff implications in the AFC matchup between the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens, which is why the game was flexed by the NFL into the Week 16 Sunday Night Football time slot. The game takes place on December 21 at 8:20 p.m. ET from MT Bank Stadium in Baltimore and will air on NBC.

Patriots at Ravens Preview

The Pats saw their 10-game winning streak come to an end last week when they blew a 21-point lead and a chance to clinch the AFC East title to division rival Buffalo. They haven’t faced much adversity this season so how they respond could tell us a lot about New England’s Super Bowl chances.

A concern for the Pats is how the defense collapsed in the second half against the Bills. They allowed 28 points, which was more than they had given up in any game this season, and Josh Allen picked them apart with three TD passes while also making plays with his legs. The Pats look to avoid another letdown against another mobile QB and MVP in Lamar Jackson.

Of New England’s last 8 wins during their 10-game streak, none were against a team with a winning record entering Week 16.
The most points the Pats allowed in a game prior to last week was 27. The Bills scored 28 points in the second half alone in their 35-31 win.
Despite last week’s meltdown the Patriots remain one of the stronger defensive teams and look to put that debacle behind them. They boast the 7th best total defense and scoring defense in the NFL.
The Pats have the worst red zone defense in the NFL allowing opponents to score on 75 percent of their trips inside the 20.

The Ravens need wins to reach the postseason and they got a big one last week, 24-0, over Cincinnati. At 7-7 it appears as though their only path to the playoffs is by winning the AFC North. They trail Pittsburgh by a game and have a rematch with the Steelers in Week 18.

Oddsmakers still fancy Baltimore positioning the Ravens as a 3-point favorite in NFL odds. They are coming off what coach John Harbaugh said was their most complete game of the season. Lamar Jackson was efficient with 150 yards and 2 TDs on only 12 pass attempts and Ravens chewed up yards on the ground with 189 on 24 carries.

Last week’s win was typical of how the Ravens play when winning. They held the Bengals to less than 300 total yards with 2 turnovers and averaged 7.9 yards per rush attempt.
Baltimore is good in critical situations boasting the 7th best red zone defense and 8th best third down unit in the NFL allowing them to cash the UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games.
Derrick Henry rushed for 100 yards on 11 carries last week, his fifth triple-digit game of the season. He’s 5th in the NFL in rushing yards and rushing TDs.
The Ravens have not been a good home team this season going 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS at MT Bank Stadium.

Patriots at Ravens Predictions

Both teams like to run the football and they do it well. Baltimore leads the NFL averaging 5.2 yards per carry and the Pats average more than 122 yards on the ground. Barring multiple chunk plays like two 50+yard TD runs like Tre’Veyon Henderson had last week, this game is going UNDER the total.

Patriots at Ravens Betting Tips

The Ravens have struggled at home but they are listed as 3-point favorites in NFL odds and -162 on the NFL moneyline.
The Pats are the only unbeaten road team going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS.
New England is +136 on the moneyline.
The total surfaced at 48.5.
The OVER is 6-2 in New England’s last 8 games.
The Ravens have played UNDER the total in 5 of their last 7 games.

Patriots at Ravens Head to Head and Key Stats

It’s not a common matchup, but with one-third of the 16 all-time meetings in the postseason it’s a good one. The teams split their four postseason matchups during the 2010s.
Baltimore won the most recent game, 37-26, during the 2022 season, their second win in the last three matchups.
This is the first game in Baltimore since 2019, a 37-20 Ravens win.
The teams cashed the OVER in 5 of the last 6 matchups.
Lamar Jackson had 4 TD passes and rushed for 107 yards and another TD in the 2022 game.