Ohio State at Michigan State Odds & Betting Tips
The Ohio State Buckeyes have shown flashes but struggled against top competition with recent losses to elite teams like No. 2 Michigan, 82-61 on Feb. 8.
Guards like Bruce Thornton (key scorer/assist man in highlights) provide offensive punch. However, consistency has been an issue with a record of 0-7 in some Quad 1 spots earlier.
Ohio State is coming off mixed results. Including a loss to Virginia in non-con, and need strong road efforts to climb the standings or secure an NCAA bid.
Meanwhile, the Michigan State Spartans, under coach Tom Izzo, remain a Big Ten contender with a solid 10-4 conference mark. They boast balanced play, tough defense, and home dominance at the Breslin Center (strong SU/ATS in spots).
MSU’s recent form includes wins and competitiveness (they are ranked around the top 10 in power rankings). The Spartans are positioned well in the league race, with this game key to maintaining momentum.
Ohio State at Michigan State Preview
On Sunday, February 22, 2026, the Michigan State Spartans will host the Ohio State Buckeyes at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. Tipoff is at 1 p.m. ET, with CBS providing television coverage.
Public Betting Odds Factors
- For MSU, a win solidifies their upper-tier standing in a tight Big Ten (behind leaders like Michigan).
- For Ohio State, a road victory would be a huge resume boost. Most importantly, it could shift bubble status or add signature-win potential.
- Ohio State will be without star guard John Mobley Jr, who is out indefinitely with a hand injury.
- Mobley Jr. is the team's second-leading scorer (15.1 PPG) and a 40% three-point shooter, a loss that significantly weakens the Buckeyes' offensive efficiency and makes them a tough team to back against the NCAA basketball spread.
Ohio State at Michigan State Predictions
Handicapping Factors to Consider
- Ohio State continues to play without star guard John Mobley Jr., a significant loss to their offensive efficiency.
- Michigan State’s depth is projected to have five players score in double figures, providing a more balanced scoring threat.
- Ohio State losing 15.1 PPG and their best shooter, expect their offensive efficiency to dip.
- As mentioned below, Michigan State dominates this series.
Ohio State at Michigan State Prime Best Bet: Michigan State Spartans
Ohio State at Michigan State Betting Tips
Ohio State Buckeyes
- Ohio State has NCAABB metrics of 97th for scoring offense, 30th for field goal percentage, 181st for 3-point field goal percentage, 8th for free throw percentage, and 285th for offensive rebounding.
- The Buckeyes have NCAABB metrics of 135th in scoring defense, 119th in field goal percentage allowed, 52nd in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 45th in defensive rebounding.
- The Ohio State Buckeyes are 17-9 straight up, 12-14 against the spread, and 12-14 over/under the total.
- Ohio State has covered three out of its last seven games.
- The Buckeyes have gone under the total in four of their previous five matchups.
Michigan State Spartans
- Michigan State has NCAABB metrics of 97th for scoring offense, 30th for field goal percentage, 181st for 3-point field goal percentage, 8th for free throw percentage, and 12TH for offensive rebounding.
- The Spartans have NCAABB metrics of 125th in scoring defense, 119th in field goal percentage allowed, 52nd in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 45th in defensive rebounding.
- The Michigan State Spartans are 21-5 straight up, 14-12 against the spread, and 11-15 over/under the total.
- Michigan State has covered the NCAA basketball spread in just two out of its last six games.
- The Spartans have gone over the total in six of their previous six matchups.
Ohio State at Michigan State Head-to-Head and Key Stats
- Traditional Big Ten rivalry – MSU often has the edge in East Lansing.
- Overall, these matchups are typically physical and competitive.
- Michigan State covered three of its last four games against Ohio State.
- Four of the last five games between the Buckeyes and Spartans went under the total.
- Specifically at Michigan State, the Spartans covered the spread in six of their last eight games against Ohio State.
- Only two of the last six games between the Buckeyes and Spartans at the Breslin Center went over the total.
- MSU often has the edge in East Lansing, but Ohio State has competed in recent years. Overall, these matchups are typically physical and competitive.