NFL Week 4 Betting: Ravens at Chiefs Odds & Expert Tips

On Sunday afternoon, in the late window, fans and gamblers will be treated to two of the best teams, coaches, and quarterbacks in pro football. The Kansas City Chiefs have been the proverbial rock in the shoe for the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC.

But Kansas City is stumbling and has the look of a team that could be losing its grip on the AFC. However, the Baltimore Ravens are a team that must learn how to hold on to a lead if they are to finally break through to the Super Bowl in the Lamar Jackson era.

Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson of the Ravens and Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs will duel at Arrowhead Stadium.

Coaches John Harbaugh of the Baltimore Ravens and Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs will mastermind a matchup with AFC playoff implications.

Ravens at Chiefs Preview

On Sunday, September 28, 2025, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Baltimore Ravens at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. The kickoff time is at 4:25 p.m. ET, with television coverage on CBS.

Baltimore opened as a 2.5-point road favorite.

Kansas City is a 2.5-point home dog.

The Ravens and Chiefs opened with a total of 48.5.

The Ravens opened as a -148 moneyline favorite.

The Chiefs opened as a +124 moneyline dog.

Public Betting Odds Factors

The Chiefs remain an attractive brand to the public because of their dynastic status and reputation.

The Chiefs playing at iconic Arrowhead with their famed sea of red crowds is an enticing intangible for the betting public.

Sharps are wary of the Chiefs because of their sluggish start.

Bargain hunters will look hard at the Chiefs in the role of home dogs.

Baltimore will get its share of support as a perennial playoff team.

Lamar Jackson commands respect and activity from the betting public.

There will be sharps and squares on both sides of the matchup because of the strong cases for and against each side.

Ravens at Chiefs Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider

Kansas City’s lack of playmakers and inability to consistently score is annoying an increasing number of gamblers.

Baltimore’s defense is not up to par for a team wanting to win a Super Bowl.

The Ravens are notorious for not being able to hold big leads late.

Kansas City has an advantage defensively, but is facing the NFL’s top scoring team.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense has a legitimate shot at breaking out against the porous Baltimore defense.

In this situation, the Chiefs will burn the boats and go all out to reach the .500 mark and re-establish their credibility.

Ravens at Chiefs Prime Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs

Ravens at Chiefs Betting Tips

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore has NFL metrics of 14^th for total offense and 1^st for scoring. In comparison, the Ravens rank 32^nd for total defense and 31^st for points allowed

Last game, the Baltimore Ravens lost 38-30 to the Detroit Lions as 4.5-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 54.

The Ravens are 1-2 straight up and against the spread and 3-0 over the total.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs rank 17th in total offense, 22nd in scoring, and 10th in fewest turnovers committed. By contrast, the Chiefs rank 12^th for total defense and 11^th for fewest points allowed.

Last week, the Kansas City Chiefs beat the New York Giants 22-9 as 6-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 45.

The Chiefs are 1-2 straight up, 1-2 against the spread, and 1-2 under the total.

Ravens at Chiefs Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the series between the Ravens and Chiefs, Kansas City has won six of the most recent eight meetings. Five of the last seven meetings between the Ravens and Chiefs went over the total.

Specifically in Kansas City, the Chiefs won and covered three of their last four games against the Ravens. The last three meetings between the Ravens and Chiefs at Kansas City went over the total.

Baltimore has been a consistently good value on the road. To show, the Ravens got the cash in 13 of their last 20 games. Ten of the last 12 Baltimore road games went over the total.

Late on, Kansas City has seen a sharp decline in home betting value. The Chiefs got the cash in only two of their most recent eight games. Five of the last seven Chiefs games at Arrowhead went under the total.