NFL Week 14: Odds, Picks & Game Preview

NFL Week 14 Preview

Week 14 opens with increasing playoff pressure and the possibility of teams trying to sneak through the back door. Two such teams will kick Week 14 off as the Detroit Lions host the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night with the Lions a slight favorite in NFL betting odds. The Cowboys and Lions are on the outside looking in, but still within striking distance.

The Houston Texans began the week one game behind the Buffalo Bills for the final AFC wild card spot. The Texans have a tough road game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday night. The fading Chiefs have played their best football at home, but need to win out and get a lot of help to make the playoffs. Betting-wise, expect a feast of value on underdogs, as the public almost always bets the favorites.

NFL Week 14 Schedule and Betting Lines

Bye weeks: New England Patriots, New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers, Carolina Panthers

NFL Week 14 Betting Tips

It has been an amazing season with the picks and it was another winning week last week, as I went 4-1-1 against the NFL betting pointspread with the predictions, as the Packers and Jets won outright, while the Saints and Commanders covered the spread. The lone loss was on the Raiders, while the Cardinals were a push. Here are NFL Week 14 Picks

• Tennessee Titans +4 at Cleveland Browns – Just a couple of plays this week which is unusual but maybe not a bad thing, as I am definitely nervous about the picks because the season has gone so well. I get it that the public is going against the Titans, but the Browns are definitely nothing special. This game will be ugly and the points are worth taking.
• Las Vegas Raiders +7.5 vs. Denver Broncos – The public wants nothing to do with the Raiders and who can argue? This is a rivalry game though, so perhaps it will be closer than expected. I will go against the public and take the Raiders plus the points.

NFL Week 14 Top Matchups

Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions (Lions -3, O/U 53.5)

The Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) face the Detroit Lions (7-5) in a pivotal Thursday Night Football clash at Ford Field, with Dallas as a 3-point underdog. This matchup stands out due to its high-stakes NFC playoff implications—both teams are scrambling for wild-card spots in a crowded conference. Dallas rides a three-game winning streak, fueled by a resurgent offense averaging over 30 points in recent outings, while Detroit's potent attack has faltered lately, dropping two straight to contenders. The sky-high total hints at fireworks, pitting Dallas's road resilience against Detroit's home dominance, making it a must-watch for offensive fireworks.

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers (Packers -6.5, O/U 44.5)

In a classic NFC North showdown at Lambeau Field, the division-leading Chicago Bears (9-3) challenges the Green Bay Packers (8-3-1), with Chicago as a 6.5-point road underdog. This tops the list for its intense rivalry and direct impact on first-place positioning, as a Bears win cements their lead while a Packers victory reignites their title chase. Chicago's elite defense, leading the league in turnovers, clashes with Green Bay's balanced attack, but the Bears' league-second rushing game (153.8 yards per game) could exploit Lambeau's frozen turf. Expect gritty, turnover-filled drama in this contest.

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Chiefs -3.5, O/U 41.5)

The Houston Texans (7-5) invade Arrowhead Stadium to battle the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) on Sunday Night Football, with Houston as a 3.5-point underdog. This AFC heavyweight bout earns top billing for its playoff ramifications—Houston aims to keep their winning streak going, as they have won four straight to get back in playoff contention while Kansas City fights to salvage its season and reclaim contender status. C.J. Stroud's precision meets Patrick Mahomes's magic, but Houston's NFL-leading pass rush (post-Week 8 EPA defense) threatens KC's skidding offense. A low total promises a defensive slugfest with massive conference stakes.

Best NFL Parlay Bets for Week 14

Week 14 gives us sharp lines, cold weather, and desperate teams—this is parlay gold. Here are the four legs we’re riding this Sunday (combined odds around +1250):

• Detroit Lions -3 vs Dallas Cowboys
• Chicago Bears +6.5 at Green Bay Packers
• Houston Texans +3.5 at Kansas City Chiefs
• Baltimore Ravens -6 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

The reasoning ties together perfectly: Detroit rebounds at home in a get-right spot, Chicago’s elite defense keeps Lambeau close in December (Bears 6-2 ATS as road dogs), Houston’s pass rush feasts on a battered KC line while riding a hot streak, and Baltimore’s explosive offense (No. 2 scoring) overwhelms a Steelers D that's leaky against the run in rivalry tilts. Four motivated plays, all with cover rates north of 65% in similar spots. String them together and Week 14 pays big.

Best NFL Teasers for Week 14

Week 14’s board is loaded with teaser-friendly numbers, especially with several key games sitting right on 3, 6, or 7. Here’s the four-leg, six-point teaser we’re going for in Week 14.

Lions -3 to Lions +3 vs Dallas

Bills -6 to Bills pick vs Cincinnati

Buccaneers -8.5 to Bucs -2.5 vs New Orleans

Rams -7.5 to Rams -1.5 vs Arizona

Detroit dominates at home, Buffalo’s offense is rolling, Tampa owns the Saints lately, and the Rams’ passing attack feasts on Arizona’s secondary. All four land inside the highest teaser win-rate windows—stack them and collect.