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NBA Picks: Rockets at Warriors Betting Tips

Certainly, the Golden State Warriors dynasty will go down as one of the best in NBA history. From 2015 through 2022, the Warriors made the NBA Finals six times, winning four. Head coach Steve Kerr and marquee man Stephen Curry became household names and powerful gambling brands. In fact, Golden State became one of the top sports gambling brands. But there is no such thing as sports success lasting forever. Golden State remains a good, but no longer great, NBA franchise. On Wednesday night, the Warriors will host a rising NBA power. The Houston Rockets, led by Kevin Durant, are off to an impressive start, both straight up and against the NBA betting odds, that followed a breakout season in 2024-25. It should be noted, however, that Durant is expected to miss this game, as he is dealing with a family matter.

Rockets at Warriors Preview

On Wednesday, November 26, 2025, the Golden State Warriors will host the Houston Rockets at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Tipoff time is 10 p.m. ET with television coverage on ESPN.

Public Betting Odds Factors

  • Houston will draw plenty of support from Wise Guys who like a strong team on the road with the enhanced price.
  • Golden State has maintained a strong betting reputation among casual bettors based on past championship success.
  • The Warriors have not been a consistently good bet this year.

Rockets at Warriors Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider 

  • So far, Houston has been one of the most complete teams in the NBA.
  • The Rockets rank well in most metrics on both ends of the court.
  • With Kevin Durant, Houston is a legit threat in any game that they play, but they are not expected to have him on Wednesday night.
  • Of major concern for gamblers is Golden State's lack of consistent offensive production.
  • In this situation, the Rockets offer more value as a quality road team, even without Durant.
  • Houston’s track record in this spot is far more impressive.

Rockets at Warriors Prime Best Bet: Houston Rockets 

Rockets at Warriors Betting Tips

Houston Rockets 

  • The Houston Rockets are 10-4 straight up, 9-5 against the spread, and 10-4 over/under the total.
  • Houston has covered the NBA odds in four of its last six games.
  • The Rockets have gone under the total in two of their previous three matchups.
  • Houston is 5th in the Western Conference playoff standings.
  • Houston is 4.5 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
  • Houston ranks 3rd in scoring offense, 10th in field goal percentage, 1st in 3-point field goal percentage, 15th in free throw percentage, and 1st in offensive rebounding.
  • On defense, the Rockets rank 5th in scoring defense, 9th in field goal percentage allowed, 15th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 1st in defensive rebounding.

Golden State Warriors 

  • The Golden State Warriors are 9-9 straight up, 9-9 against the spread, and 12-6 over/under the total.
  • Golden State has covered one of its last four games.
  • The Warriors have gone over the total in three of their previous four matchups.
  • Golden State is 8th in the Western Conference playoff standings.
  • Golden State is 7.5 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
  • Golden State has NBA metrics of 21st for scoring offense, 23rd for field goal percentage, 11th for 3-point field goal percentage, 5th for free throw percentage, and 22nd for offensive rebounding.
  • On defense, the Warriors have NBA metrics of 12th for scoring defense, 18th for field goal percentage permitted, 8th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 18th for defensive rebounding.

Rockets at Warriors Head-to-Head and Key Stats

  • Golden State covered only three of its most recent eight games against Houston.
  • The Rockets and Warriors went under the total in eight of their last 11 matchups.
  • Specifically at Golden State, the Rockets have had the edge at the payout window.
  • Houston covered four of its most recent six games at Golden State.
  • Six of the last nine games between the Rockets at Warriors at Golden State went under the total.
  • The Rockets covered the spread in seven of their most recent eight away games.
  • The Rockets went over the total in ten of their most recent 12 road tilts.
  • The Warriors covered six of their most recent eight home games.
  • Five of the last nine Golden State home games went over the total.

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