NASCAR Bank of America 400 Best Bets & Odds
The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Charlotte Motor Speedway this weekend for the Bank of America ROVAL 400, the elimination race for the Round of 12 in the Playoffs. The 2.32-mile infield road course, known for its hybrid layout and high-pressure chicanes, has historically delivered chaos and drama. Defending race winner Kyle Larson enters as a strong contender, but road course specialist Shane van Gisbergen (SVG) opens as the overwhelming NASCAR betting favorite following his recent dominance on this track type.
The green flag drops on Sunday, October 5 at Charlotte Motor Speedway with four playoff drivers facing elimination. Sunday’s race can be seen on the USA Network.
NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Preview
Opening odds confirm that a non-playoff driver, Shane van Gisbergen, is considered the man to beat. SVG is the heavy favorite after winning four road course races earlier in the 2025 season. However, the playoff drama will be the main factor, as this is the cutoff race for the Round of 12.
Chase Elliott and Ryan Blaney are already locked into the Round of 8 via wins in the prior two playoff races. This leaves only six spots open for the remaining 10 drivers, with Ross Chastain, Bubba Wallace, Tyler Reddick, and Austin Cindric sitting below the cutline and likely needing a win to advance. The unique mix of playoff desperation and road course specialty means this race is ripe for upset winners and high-value bets.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 Betting Odds
Shane Van Gisbergen -120
Kyle Larson +900
William Byron +1100
Christopher Bell +1100
Tyler Reddick +1300
Chase Elliott +1400
AJ Allmendinger +1375
Chris Buescher +2150
Chase Briscoe +2200
Ross Chastain +2400
TY Gibbs +2500
Kyle Busch +2925
Michael McDowell +2800
Alex Bowman +3300
Ryan Blaney +3600
Joey Logano +3600
Austin Cindric +4800
All other drivers are listed with odds of +5000 or higher.
NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Top Contenders
Shane van Gisbergen -110
- The New Zealand native has been dominant on road courses in 2025, winning four events.
- Despite being eliminated from the playoffs, he remains the unquestioned favorite due to his Supercars pedigree.
- While he finished seventh in his only previous Cup start here, he is positioned to break the trend of playoff winners at the ROVAL.
Kyle Larson +1000
- The defending winner of this race (2024).
- Larson has two ROVAL victories (2021, 2024) and boasts the best average finish (4.2) among active drivers here.
- Enters the race leading the points standings (+54 to the cutline), meaning he does not need to push aggressively for the win but will be seeking bonus points.
Tyler Reddick +1200
- Sits 29 points below the cutline and likely needs a win to advance to the Round of 8.
- Reddick is a three-time road course winner in the Cup Series and has four top-10 finishes in six ROVAL starts.
- His 23XI Racing Toyota team performs well on technical road layouts, positioning him as a viable bubble-buster.
A.J. Allmendinger +1300
- One of the true road course specialists on the entry list, though he is not running for the championship.
- Has three straight top-6 finishes at the ROVAL, including a Cup win in 2023.
- Offers strong value as a veteran driver focused purely on winning, without the pressure of playoff points.
NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Predictions
This race has a rare dynamic: an eliminated road course ace (SVG) is the favorite, while several championship contenders are desperate for a victory.
Shane van Gisbergen (-120) to Win While the price is short, the consistency and dominance SVG has shown on road courses in 2025 cannot be ignored. His motivation will be to continue his historic run and prove his mastery of the discipline. If you’re betting the outright winner, SVG is the logical choice.
Kyle Larson (+900) to Win Larson presents far better value than SVG at 9-1. He is the defending race winner with two ROVAL victories. With his playoff position secure, he can run a strategic race that focuses on maximizing speed and minimizing errors, making the +900 odds a strong value play compared to the heavy favorite.
Value Play: Tyler Reddick (+180) to finish Top 5 Reddick's desperation and his history as a strong road course performer make him an excellent pick for a top-5 finish. The model predictions are high on him converting his road-course speed into a Top 5 finish, even if he doesn't get the win.
