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Michigan at Michigan State Betting Tips: Picks & Odds

The Michigan Wolverines opened up a can this college basketball season with 14 consecutive wins. The 14-0 start caught the attention of gamblers, as well as opponents.

As a result of all of this attention, Michigan has lost much of its betting value. The Wolverines are drawing too much attention, and oddsmakers have been forced to jack up the prices on the Maize and Blue to scare off customers and even out the betting action.

Additionally, Number 3-ranked Michigan is now circled on every Big Ten college basketball schedule. The Wolverines are the team that everybody wants to beat. Michigan gets everybody’s best shot.

The Michigan State Spartans are ranked 7th in the nation, but are not catching as much attention as Michigan. Thus, Sparty has a tidy profit this season.

The Michigan-Michigan State clash airs on FOX, with a national Friday night audience looking on. College basketball betting traffic and viewership promise to be high.

Michigan at Michigan State Preview

On Friday, January 30, 2026, the Michigan State Spartans will host the Michigan Wolverines at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. Tipoff time is 8 p.m. ET with television coverage on FOX.

Public Betting Odds Factors

  • The Wolverines remain one of the most popular brands in college basketball, which continues to be a drag on their value.
  • Michigan State is another popular college basketball brand thanks to head coach Tom Izzo building a powerful winning tradition.
  • Michigan State will get a good price at home because of Michigan’s popularity.

Michigan at Michigan State Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider 

  • Michigan will draw more casual sector support, driving down its value.
  • Michigan State will be a dangerous host and has dominated the Wolverines at home.
  • Michigan State offers the most value with its home court and lesser brand appeal.
  • Michigan State has been a much more profitable betting value lately compared to Michigan, especially at home.

Michigan at Michigan State Prime Best Bet: Michigan State Spartans 

Michigan at Michigan State Betting Tips

Michigan Wolverines 

  • Michigan has national metrics of 11th for scoring offense, 5th for field goal percentage, 128th for 3-point field goal percentage, 198th for free throw percentage, and 10th for offensive rebounding.
  • On defense, the Wolverines have national metrics of 39th for scoring defense, 2nd for field goal percentage permitted, 42nd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 29th for defensive rebounding.
  • The Michigan Wolverines are 19-1 straight up, 9-11 against the spread, and 7-13 over/under the total.
  • The Wolverines have gone under the total in seven of their previous eight matchups.

Michigan State Spartans 

  • Michigan State has national metrics of 173rd for scoring offense, 55th for field goal percentage, 89th for 3-point field goal percentage, 160th for free throw percentage, and 22nd for offensive rebounding.
  • On defense, the Spartans have national metrics of 4th for scoring defense, 11th for field goal percentage permitted, 24th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 1st for defensive rebounding.
  • The Michigan State Spartans are 19-2 straight up, 12-9 against the spread, and 6-15 over/under the total.
  • Michigan State has covered six out of its last eight games.
  • The Spartans have gone under the total in seven of their previous eight matchups.

Michigan at Michigan State Head-to-Head and Key Stats

  • Michigan State has owned the cashiers' cage against Michigan with a mark of 7-2 against the spread.
  • The last four meetings between Michigan and Michigan State went under the total.
  • Michigan State has bullied Michigan at the Breslin Center with a mark of 13-5 against the spread.
  • The Wolverines and Spartans went under the total in 13 of their last 20 games at the Breslin Center.
  • Michigan has drowned gamblers with red ink in road games with a mark of 5-15 against the spread.
  • The Wolverines went under the total in eight of their last ten away tilts.
  • Michigan State lost only one of its last seven home games against the spread.
  • The Spartans went under the total in 15 of their last 19 home games.

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