Few teams frustrate gamblers with more empty promises and less value than the New York Mets. The Mets have a reputation for writing big checks for players who don’t deliver the championship promises implied by the transactions. Despite one of the biggest payrolls in baseball, the Mets rarely deliver more than playoff disappointments when they even manage to gain the postseason. As the regular season winds down, New York is fighting for its postseason life. On Wednesday night, New York has an important road game against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Chicago holds the top National League wild card spot, while the Mets are hanging on to the final wild card spot by their fingernails.
Mets at Cubs Preview
On Wednesday, September 24, 2025, the Chicago Cubs will host the New York Mets at Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET with television coverage on ESPN.
- The probable starting pitcher for the Mets is right-hander Jonah Tong. So far this season, Tong is 2-2 with a 5.94 earned run average and 1.44 WHIP. The rookie has only four starts in 2025.
- The probable starting pitcher for the Cubs is left-hander Matthew Boyd. In 2025, Boyd has a record of 13-8 with a 3.20 earned run average and 1.11 WHIP. In his last seven starts, Boyd is 2-3 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Mets at Cubs Predictions
- Despite their problems and perpetual failure, the Mets have a large following, which serves to inflate their baseball betting prices and deflate their value.
- Few teams draw squarer and fan money than the Mets. Thus, sharps love to oppose New York.
- Chicago is also a popular team, but it is a more reliable betting value than the Mets.
- Because of the Mets' popularity, the Cubs will receive a rare discount price at Wrigley Field.
- New York’s pitching has become a liability at the betting window.
- The Cubs are the more complete team and in better form, with a record of more reliable value than New York.
Mets at Cubs Prime Best Bet: Chicago Cubs
Mets at Cubs Betting Tips
New York Mets
- The New York Mets are 80-75 and 31-44 on the road.
- New York holds the final National League wild card spot, one game ahead of the Cincinnati Reds.
- Also, the Mets are 73-74-8 under the total.
- New York lost ten of its last 14 games.
- Four of its last seven games went under the total.
- Overall, the Mets have MLB Metrics of 10th for runs per game, 6th for OPS, and 5th for home runs.
- New York ranks 18th for earned run average, 23rd for WHIP, 9th for fewest errors committed, and 14th for bullpen ERA.
- Few teams get more hype and public love than the Mets. But that usually translates into overlay prices and disappointment.
- Following a strong start to the 2025 campaign, the Mets faltered in the second half.
Chicago Cubs
- The Chicago Cubs are 88-67 and 46-29 at home.
- The Cubs hold the first National League wild card spot.
- The Cubs are 69-73-13 under the total.
- Late on, the Cubs have four wins in their most recent seven games.
- In sum, the Cubs rank 8th for run production, 8th for OPS, 7th for home runs, and 3rd for stolen bases.
- The Cubs rank 7th in earned run average, 2nd in WHIP, 4th in fewest errors committed, and 12th in bullpen ERA.
- Namely, Craig Counsell was hired away from his hometown Milwaukee Brewers to deliver a championship to the North Side.
- While Counsell has led the Cubs to their first playoff berth since 2020 this year, there is a sense that the team is not quite where they expected to be.
- Still, in this era of the wild card, the Cubs will be a dangerous opponent.
Mets at Cubs Head to Head and Key Stats
- In the series between the Mets and Cubs, New York got the cash in nine of the most recent 15 meetings.
- Only two of the last seven games between the Mets and Cubs went over the total.
- Specifically at Wrigley Field, the Mets saw the payout window in six of their last ten games with the Cubs.
- New York and Chicago went over the total in only four of those ten games.
