Kansas City at Dallas: Expert Betting Tips

The Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys have an interesting relationship. The Chiefs were born in 1960 as the Dallas Texans in the new American Football League after the NFL rejected owner Lamar Hunt's bid to add an expansion team.

In retaliation, the Cowboys were created to ruin the AFL and Hunt’s franchise, which later moved to Kansas City. Out of those ties came the 1966 merger of the NFL and AFL and the birth of the Super Bowl.

These days, the Cowboys, known as “America’s Team,” often play like expansion newborns. At the same time, the Chiefs resemble an aging former power whose best days are behind them.

The Cowboys will host the Chiefs on Thanksgiving afternoon on CBS. Despite recent struggles, the Chiefs-Cowboys on Turkey Day means big TV ratings and heavy NFL betting traffic.

Chiefs at Cowboys Preview

On Thursday, November 27, 2025, the Dallas Cowboys will host the Kansas City Chiefs at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Kickoff is at 4:30 p.m. ET, with television coverage on CBS.

Public Betting Odds Factors

• Although the Cowboys are mediocre, they remain America’s team. That moniker was born in 1978 and lives on. The Dallas brand is too big to ignore, justifiable or not.

• The Chiefs are the most successful franchise of the past decade. And they offer the star power of Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, and Travis Kelce.

Chiefs at Cowboys Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider 

• Dallas will draw massive betting action from squares for a home Thanksgiving game.

• Last year, the Chiefs were routed in an embarrassing Super Bowl loss that served as a portent.

• Dallas has the handicapping advantage with all of the pertinent trends.

• Kansas City is not what it used to be, and failing to bring home the bacon at a reliable rate.

• Additionally, the total will be overvalued given the Chiefs' offense's reputation and the Cowboys' weak defense.

• Kansas City is not as explosive as in the past, but the casual sector is not fully cognizant of that.

• Thus, the under could sneak through on a contrarian bet

Chiefs at Cowboys Prime Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys and Under the Total 

Chiefs at Cowboys Betting Tips

• Kansas City opened as a 3-point favorite and a -180 moneyline chalk.

• Dallas opened as a 3-point dog and a +152 moneyline dog.

• The Chiefs and Cowboys opened with a total of 51.5.

Kansas City Chiefs 

• Kansas City ranks 5^th for total offense, 2^nd for passing, 15^th for rushing, 9^th for scoring, and 6^th for fewest turnovers committed.

• Kansas City ranks 5^th in total defense, 8th vs. the pass, 8th vs. the rush, 4th in fewest points allowed, and 24th in takeaways.

• Late on, Kansas City has covered one out of its most recent four games.

• Kansas City went under the total in six of its last six matchups.

• Last game, the Kansas City Chiefs beat the Indianapolis Colts 23-20 in overtime as 4.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 50.

• Kansas City is 6-5 straight up, 5-6 against the spread, and 3-8 over/under the total.

Dallas Cowboys 

• Overall, Dallas ranks 1^st for total offense, 1^st for passing, 14^th for rushing, 4^th for scoring, and 19^th for fewest turnovers committed.

• Dallas ranks 29^th for total defense, 30^th vs. the pass, 22^nd vs. rush, 31^st for fewest points allowed, and 25^th for takeaways.

• Late on, Dallas has covered two out of its most recent two games.

• Dallas went under the total in one of its last three matchups.

• Last game, the Dallas Cowboys won 24-21 against the Philadelphia Eagles as 3-point home dogs. The game went under the total of 48.

• Dallas is 5-5-1 straight up, 6-5 against the spread, and 7-4 over/under the total.

Chiefs at Cowboys Head-to-Head and Key Stats

• In the series between Kansas City and Dallas, the Chiefs covered the spread in only three of the last nine meetings.

• KC and Dallas went under the total in six of those games.

• Specifically in Dallas, the Chiefs failed to get the money on their last four visits.

• Three of those four games went under the total.

• The Chiefs have been a horrible betting value on the road.

• Kansas City covered the spread in only one of its last seven away games.

• The Chiefs went under the total in six of their most recent nine away games.

• Dallas has been a surprisingly good betting value at home.

• The Cowboys got the cash in five of their last eight games at Jerry World.

• Dallas went over the total in 14 of their last 20 home games.