Falcons vs Colts Odds, Picks & Betting Tips

At the beginning of the season, the Indianapolis Colts were ignored on the futures market.

When it was announced that Daniel Jones was arriving in a trade from the New York Giants, the news was greeted with yawns.

However, the script has been completely flipped in the first half of the season.

Indianapolis has been the most impressive team in the AFC and is in contention for the top seed.

On Sunday morning, the Colts will face the wildly inconsistent Atlanta Falcons in Berlin, Germany.

The Falcons are just dangerous enough to be a problem for opponents on an off day.

Atlanta does have some NFL betting support, given its unrealized potential.

Falcons vs. Colts Preview

On Sunday, November 9, 2025, the Indianapolis Colts will face the Atlanta Falcons at Olympic Stadium, Berlin, Germany. Kickoff time is 9:30 a.m. ET with television coverage on the NFL Network. Indianapolis is the designated home team for this game in Berlin.

Public Betting Odds Factors

• Although the Colts are the NFL’s biggest surprise, they remain something of a mystery to the casual sector.

• But in a game against Atlanta, the Colts will draw more support from squares than is normally the case.

• Consider that the Falcons are one of the most frustrating teams for NFL gamblers.

• Just when it looks like Atlanta is serious, they implode.

• When gamblers give up on the Falcons, they end up surprising everyone.

• Talented Atlanta might attract some bargain hunters.

Falcons vs. Colts Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider 

• Indianapolis is the more consistent, proven, and confident team.

• The Falcons are struggling with quarterback issues.

• Indianapolis has one of the best and most balanced offenses in the NFL.

• The Falcons' weak rush defense does not match up well with the Colts.

• Indianapolis has dominated the payout window against the Falcons.

Falcons vs. Colts Prime Best Bet: Indianapolis Colts 

Falcons vs. Colts Betting Tips

Indianapolis opened as a 6.5-point favorite and a -290 moneyline chalk.

Atlanta opened as a 6.5-point dog and a +235 moneyline dog.

The Falcons and Colts opened with a total of 48.5

Atlanta Falcons 

• Atlanta ranks 5^th for total offense, 8^th for passing, 9^th for rushing, 28^th for scoring, and 8^th for fewest turnovers committed.

• Atlanta ranks 14^th for total defense, 3^rd vs. the pass, 27^th vs rush, 12^th for fewest points allowed, and 11^th for takeaways.

• Last game, the Atlanta Falcons lost 24-23 against the New England Patriots as 5.5-point road dogs. The game went over the total of 45.5.

• Atlanta is 3-5 straight up, 4-4 against the spread, and 2-5-1 over/under the total.

Indianapolis Colts 

• Overall, Indianapolis ranks 6^th for total offense, 5^th for passing, 12^th for rushing, 1^st for scoring, and 16^th for fewest turnovers committed.

• Indianapolis ranks 15^th for total defense, 24^th vs. the pass, 4^th vs rush, 7^th for fewest points allowed, and 3^rd for takeaways.

• Last game, the Indianapolis Colts lost 27-20 against the Pittsburgh Steelers as 3-point road favorites. The game went under the total of 52.5.

• Indianapolis is 7-2 straight up, 6-3 against the spread, and 5-4 over/under the total.

Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the series between the Falcons and Colts, Indianapolis got the money in six of their most recent eight meetings.

Three of the last four games between the Falcons and Colts went under the total.

Specifically, as a favorite, Indianapolis covered the spread in its last four games against Atlanta.

Three of those games went over the total.

Atlanta has been a weak underdog play on the board.

The Falcons have covered only six of their most recent 20 games as dogs.

Only four of those 20 games went under the total.

On the other hand, the Colts have shown increased value as a favorite.

Indianapolis has covered the spread in eight of its most recent 11 games as a favorite.

The Colts went over the total in nine of their most recent 13 games as chalk.