Dayton vs VCU Preview, Expert Insights & Betting Tips

Having already clinched a double bye in the Atlantic 10 tournament, VCU and Dayton will conclude their regular season against each other on Friday. VCU has an outside chance of winning the regular season crown after winning 12 of their last 13 games.

Dayton secured a top 4 seed in the A-10 tournament thanks to a 6-game winning streak that included a victory over league-leading St. Louis. During the run Dayton held every opponent to 67 points or less, cashing the UNDER on the college basketball betting line five times.

VCU at Dayton Preview

The Dayton Flyers look to avenge an earlier loss to VCU when they host the Rams in the final regular season game for both teams on Friday, March 6, 2026 at the UD Arena in Dayton. Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET with the game airing on ESPN2. VCU won 99-73 when the teams met on Feb. 6.

Public Betting Odds Factors

The Rams can kick themselves for not beating St. Louis during the season. VCU enters this game with just three A-10 losses, two of them administered by first-place St. Louis, and will more than likely be the No. 2 seed in the conference tournament.

VCU won for the 12th time in 13 games beating George Mason 70-65 on Tuesday. Leading scorer Terrence Hill Jr. led the way with 16 points off the bench. The Rams failed to cover the 10.5 point spread and have just 4 payouts in their last 10 games.

VCU is second to St. Louis in the A-10 averaging 83.3 points per game. However, the bulk of that scoring came in non-conference action when the Rams hit triple digits four times. They’ve been stout defensively, allowing less than 70 points seven times in their last 11 games with the UNDER going 7-4 in that span.

One of the deeper teams in the A-10 the Rams go 9 deep with their rotation giving them flexibility. Leading scorer Terrence Hill comes off the bench to average 14.0 points and 6 other players average more than 7.0 points per game.

Dayton’s late run won’t win them the regular season crown but it does set them up to make noise in the conference tournament. They won their 6th straight game and for the 7th time in 8 outings beating Richmond 65-60 on Tuesday.

A win over league-leading St. Louis on Feb. 24 was a jolt of confidence Dayton needed. They endured a 4-game losing streak at the end of Jan. that included an embarrassing 102-71 setback to the Billikens.

VCU at Dayton Predictions

Dayton has been good at home this season going 14-2 at UD Arena overall this season. They’ve also been good in A-10 play with their only loss in 8 games coming in OT to Rhode Island. The Flyers are also 5-2 against the NCAA basketball spread in home games.

Of VCU’s 3 defeats in A-10 play, 2 of them came on the road. The Rams lost to St. Louis a few weeks ago and they were upset at George Mason in early Jan. Given their home court edge and with revenge on their mind Dayton looks like a smart play.

VCU at Dayton Betting Tips

Dayton had 5 straight payouts before failing to cover the closing 5.5-point spread in Tuesday’s 65-60 win over Richmond. Overall the Flyers are just 14-16 ATS.

Showcasing a defense that’s allowed an average of 63.3 points with no more than 67 points in any game during its current 6-game winning streak, Dayton has cashed the UNDER on the college basketball odds 5 times in that span.

On the strength of winning 17 of their last 20 games VCU is in a position to earn an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament, according

VCU at Dayton Head to Head and Key Stats

VCU’s 99-73 win on Feb. 6 was the largest in the series in the last 8 meetings. The 26-point margin was almost as big as the margin in the previous 7 games combined (32). Six of those matchups were decided by 5 points or less.