Bucks at Thunder NBA Odds & Betting Breakdown

Sometimes you have to lose the battle to win the war. Playing shorthanded, the Thunder matches its longest losing streak of the season at two, but they made sure it ended there with Monday’s 119-110 win over the Lakers. The Giannis Antetokounmpo saga is over for the time being in Milwaukee. The former MVP is sticking around hoping to lead his club to a play-in spot and maybe better. The Bucks had their season best 3-game winning streak end with Monday’s loss to Orlando. Make sure to check the status for Giannis and SGA, as there is a good chance neither one plays on Thursday night.

Bucks at Thunder Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks and Oklahoma City Thunder conclude their season series with a meeting on Thursday, February 12, 2026 from Paycom Center in OKC. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET with Prime Video supplying a live stream.

Public Betting Odds Factors

• The Bucks need to figure out what they’re going to do the remainder of the season. They kept Antetokounmpo and are within striking distance of a play-in spot. They recently posted their longest winning streak of the season earning payouts on the NBA betting line in all 3 games.

• The move to keep Giannis came at a time when he hasn’t been playing. Antetokounmpo has been sidelined with an injury since late January and isn’t expected back until after the All-Star break. The Bucks have lost 4 of 7 games in his most recent absence.

• Issues winning on the road have plagued the Bucks this season. Monday’s loss to Orlando was their 4th straight and 6th in 7 games on the road. They are just 1-6 ATS in those games and own one of the worst road cover rates in the NBA.

• Consistently among the league leaders in scoring under former coach Mike Budenholzer, the Bucks near the bottom of the NBA rankings averaging 112.0 points per game.

• The Bucks have cashed the UNDER in a NBA high 70.4 percent of their road games.

• OKC hasn’t lost more than 2 games in a row all season, but they’ve done that twice in the last 3 weeks. Their most recent skid came with MVP Shai Gilgeous Alexander sidelined with an injury that will keep him out until after the break.

• The return of Jalen Williams came at a good time. He scored 23 points in his first game in nearly a month to help beat the Lakers 119-110 on Monday night. And the team’s second leading scorer will be counted on as OKC finishes off a stretch of 3 games in 4 nights.

Bucks at Thunder Predictions

• Between them Giannis and SGA average nearly 60 points per game. Taking two of the most prolific scorers in the NBA off the court gives me a strong inkling to back the UNDER on the NBA spread. And don’t forget about OKC’s ability to play defense. They lead the NBA in fewest points allowed and defensive efficiency.

Bucks at Thunder Betting Tips

• The Bucks are not a good road team. They’ve lost 4 straight averaging less than 100 points in those games while going 0-4 ATS. Overall they are 9-18 SU and 8-19 ATS in away games.

• OKC has cashed the OVER in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6 using a balanced offense to cover for SGA’s absence.

• For the second time in 2 weeks the Thunder get a stretch of 3 games in 4 nights with Thursday’s matchup the second of a back-to-back. OKC completed a back to back last week with a 116-106 setback to San Antonio.

Bucks at Thunder Head to Head and Key Stats

• OKC has been dominant in its 3-game series winning streak. The Thunder won the most recent matchup last month, 122-102, and the wins have been by 16 points or more.

• Milwaukee’s last series win was in the NBA Cup title game last season, holding the Thunder to a season-low point total in the 97-81 triumph. The results and stats didn’t count toward the regular season, though.

• The Thunder won the last 2 meetings in OKC scoring 125 points in each game while holding the Bucks to an average of 101.5 points. OKC covered a double-digit spread both times.