BMW Championship 2026: Odds, Predictions & Preview

Scottie Scheffler didn’t have to play last week to advance to the second leg of the FedExCup Playoffs. The No. 1 ranked player in the world and in the standings did play and he ended a winless drought that lasted nearly the entire season. Scheffler along with the top 49 players behind him in the FedExCup standings earned a trip to St. Louis to compete in the BMW Championship. With his fifth-place finish last week Sungjae Im was the only player to move into the top 50. Following his dominant 8-swing win in Memphis, Scheffler is the overwhelming favorite on the PGA odds board.

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BMW Championship 2026 Overview

With the playoff field whittled down to the top 50 in the FedExCup standings, the pressure this week is on the golfers positioned at No. 31 and above. That’s because only the top 30 in the standings advance to the Tour Championship with a chance to win the title and the bounty that comes with it. The second playoff hurdle is the BMW Championship 2026, which takes place at Bellerive Country Club. Rickie Fowler is on the bubble at No. 30 entering the tournament with six golfers within 67 points of his position.

What Is the BMW Championship?

• The BMW Championship is a tournament on the PGA Tour that serves as the second leg of the three-tournament FedExCup Playoffs.
• The field is limited to the top 50 players in the FedExCup standings following the completion of the first playoff event, the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
• Due to the small field, every golfer will play 72 holes of stroke play over four days to determine the final 30 players who advance to the season-ending Tour Championship.

Why the BMW Championship Matters in the FedExCup Playoffs

• The BMW Championship is crucial since it determines the last 30 golfers who advance to the final event. Players outside the top 30 need to perform well to have a chance of moving up in the standings.
• While the BMW Championship has a standard prize pool of $20 million, its conclusion triggers the payout of the Tour’s $100 million postseason bonus pool.
• Final FedExCup standings following the BMW Championship determines a player's cut of the massive prize pool.

Where Is the BMW Championship This Year?

Since its introduction nearly two decades ago, the BMW Championship has been hosted by 11 different courses. Due to its nomadic existence some might be asking, where is the BMW Championship this year? For the second time and the first since 2008, the tournament is being played in the St. Louis suburb of Town and Country, Missouri at Bellerive Country Club.

BMW Championship 2026 Location

• Bellerive Country Club moved to its current location just outside St. Louis in 1959.
• The club has used three different locations since opening but has always been in or around the St. Louis area.
• The club has a rich championship history. Just a few years after opening at its new location, Bellerive hosted the US Open. The venue has twice hosted the PGA Championship and in 2008 it hosted the BMW Championship for the first time.

Course Overview and Betting Impact

• At 7,448 yards and par-70, Bellerive is long and tough. It’s known as a championship test that requires massive tee shots and precise iron play.
• Bellerive is more than 130 yards longer than when it hosted the 2018 PGA Championship giving a big edge to long hitters off the tee.
• Player odds are adjusted based on specific stat profiles. Given the length of the course and wide fairways, driving distance and efficiency are metrics worth noting.

BMW Championship Odds

Coming off his dominant eight-shot win last week and entering as this tournament’s defending champ, Scottie Scheffler is a huge BMW Championship odds favorite. Several players are around from when Bellerive hosted the 2018 PGA Championship, but Scheffler isn’t one of them. However, he does have the tee-to-green game that perfectly matches the Bellerive layout. Only two golfers finished with a worse score than Rory McIlroy last week. Looking for a rebound effort, McIlroy is positioned as the second favorite along with other elite drivers like Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg to round out the top tier of the outright golf betting market.

Current BMW Championship Odds Table

• Scottie Scheffler +325
• Rory McIlroy +1509
• Xander Schauffele +1611
• Ludvig Aberg +1759
• Cameron Young +2150
• Sam Burns +2154
• Tommy Fleetwood +2154
• Matt Fitzpatrick +2477
• Si Woo Kim +2760
• Hideki Matsuyama +2902
• Patrick Cantlay +2913
• All others listed at +3000 or higher

Biggest Odds Movement

• Two of the game’s best golfers have seen dramatic movement in their BMW Championship odds for different reasons heading into the tournament.
• With his dominant 8-shot victory in Memphis, Scottie Scheffler saw his odds drop to around +300 and lower at some sportsbooks. Going as low as 3/1 in an elite 50-player field is rare.
• Though he’s still the second favorite, Rory McIlroy saw his odds drift out to around 15/1 after his dismal 8-over par last week.
• With a T5 last week, Sungjae Im crashed the top 50 moving all the way to No. 40 in the standings. The only golfer to do that, Im saw his odds adjust to account for him making the field.

BMW Championship Picks

This is a different course than what players saw last week, so adjustments will need to be made. Because Bellerive has been lengthened to approximately 7,448 yards it’s worth targeting players that can compile distance off the tee while staying away from the punishing rough. Scottie Scheffler was money on the greens in Memphis, fixing the part of his game that had been troubling him. He also tends to put stretches of wins together making him a solid BMW Championship pick. However, the value is limited at his price and there are other good options in an elite field.

Best Value Picks

• It’s hard to think of Rory McIlroy as a value pick, but after his rough outing in Memphis his BMW Championship odds lengthened. I expect a strong comeback from McIlroy making him a target in the outright market.
• Experts are making a case for Tommy Fleetwood as a BMW Championship value pick. He’s one of the more accurate drivers and he arrives in good form after last week’s T7.
• Sam Burns is on a heater with three top 5s in his last four starts. He finished T3 in Memphis to go along with solo third at The Open and runner-up at the US Open.

Longshot Picks to Watch

• With 50 of the best golfers competing in the BMW Championship, traditional longshot odds are compressed. There is value in the mid-tiers for players with strong course profiles.
• His disappointing finish last week pushed his price up, but Collin Morikawa can use the Bellerive layout to his advantage. He’s not a traditional bomber, but his strong iron play puts Morikawa in the longshot picture.
• Sungjae Im was the only golfer to play his way into the field with a T5 last week under intense pressure. With nothing to lose and a wave of momentum, why not?

BMW Championship Predictions

With the seal broken it isn’t a stretch to see Scheffler go on a run. He was dialed in last week, especially with the putter, showing off an area of his game that had been his weakest. There really are no weak spots, though, for the guy ranked No. 1 in the world and runaway leader in the FedExCup standings. His wins come in bunches putting Scheffler at the top of the BMW Championship predictions. During a stretch last year he won seven times in 14 starts.

Key Factors for BMW Championship Predictions

• With Bellerive Country Club stretched to 7,448 yards there are specific metrics to prioritize in BMW Championship predictions.
• Wide fairways and large greens are a bonus for big hitters with little worry about the penal rough. Strokes gained: off-the-tee is one key factor to consider.
• With long drives setting up shorter approach shots, how golfers perform with their irons provides another tactical advantage.

Players Who Fit the Course

• His strong fit to the Bellerive Country Club course is another reason why Scheffler has the shortest BMW Championship odds. He is considered the best driver on Tour.
• Tommy Fleetwood has the ideal balance of driving accuracy and approach play to master the course and contend for the title.
• Viktor Hovland is highlighted as a statistical fit for the demands of Bellerive Country Club. He’s gained more than 1.1 strokes on approach over his last 16 rounds and has the balance of driving distance and accuracy.

BMW Championship Expert Picks

The consensus BMW Championship expert pick is undoubtedly Scottie Scheffler. The best player in the game just lapped the field in Memphis winning the FedEx St. Jude Championship by a whopping eight strokes. That was against the best players on Tour. With his elite driving and approach play coupled with strong putting from last week, it’s nearly impossible to bet against Scheffler.

Outright Winner Pick

• From a golf standpoint it’s hard not to back Scheffler. While he endured a lengthy winless drought he’s been among the top 5 in 12 of his 18 starts.
• Looking at the BMW Championship from a betting perspective, there are 49 other players looking to win and several have a better ROI. Fleetwood, Burns and Chris Gotterup are strong course fits who have played well lately.
• Further down the PGA odds board, Justin Rose is the ultimate sleeper BMW Championship pick.

Top-10 and Top-20 Picks

• Placement markets are popular when it comes to betting on the PGA Tour. The payout isn’t as significant but there’s a stronger chance of having a winning ticket.
• With metrics that align with a long, difficult layout, Cameron Young is poised to sit near the top of the leaderboard.
• Sneaking into the BMW Championship field with a top 5 last week, Sungjae Im is playing with house money making him a strong top 10 BMW Championship pick.

BMW Championship TV Schedule

The BMW Championship television schedule spans four days across CBS, Golf Channel and ESPN. ESPN+ and the CBS Sports app provide live streaming options. Early round coverage of the BMW Championship is available on ESPN and Golf Channel starting at 10 a.m. ET. On the weekend Golf Channel will have lead-in coverage from 1-3 p.m. ET with CBS having the main network telecast from 3-6 p.m. ET.

How to Watch the BMW Championship

• There are options to watch the BMW Championship on network TV, cable and streaming.
• CBS has the main network telecast on Saturday and Sunday from 3 p.m. to 6 p.m. ET.
• Golf Channel will air the tournament over all four days with ESPN providing additional early round coverage.

BMW Championship Streaming Options

• ESPN+ will feature four unique daily feeds that include main feed coverage, featured groups and specific featured holes across the Bellerive Country Club property.
• Paramount+ will stream main CBS coverage on both Saturday and Sunday.
• Golf Channel streaming options can be accessed through the PGA Tour Media App or live TV streaming platforms.

How the BMW Championship Impacts the FedExCup Playoffs

The BMW Championship is more than just the last step before the Tour Championship. The field will be trimmed to the top 30 in the FedExCup standings at the conclusion of the tournament with those players moving on to the season-ending Tour Championship. There’s also a pool of postseason bonus money that gets divided up depending on where a player finishes in the standings.

FedExCup Points and Qualification

• The BMW Championship offers inflated point values compared to regular season tournaments, which could cause a shakeup in the standings.
• The winner of the BMW Championship receives 750 FedExCup points with the primary goal finishing inside the top 30 of the point standings.
• While the points race ends after the BMW Championship, where a player finishes is important. Not only do the top 30 advance, but players eliminated this week can still walk away with a substantial payout.

Road to the TOUR Championship

• The road to the season-ending Tour Championship ends this week just outside of St. Louis. The top 30 players in the final FedExCup standings will advance to the season-ending Tour Championship.
• Golfers entering the BMW Championship outside the top 30 still have a chance to gain ground with points inflated.

How to Bet on the BMW Championship

With tournaments played just about every week, betting on professional golf has become increasingly popular. And with that the betting markets have expanded. The most popular bet is the outright winner where you throw down on a single player to win the entire tournament. After creating your account at Prime explore BMW Championship odds and see what fits your golf wagering needs.

Outright Winner Market

• Backing the best golfer in the world comes with restrictions. Call it a tax but backing Scottie Scheffler at his price leaves very little return.
• In an elite field of 50 golfers there are others that offer a much better payout. When betting the outright study individual form and course metrics to make a better informed wager.

Finishing Position and Matchup Bets

• Betting on a top 5, top 10 or top 20 offers a lower return but a higher probability of success. With a limited BMW Championship field the odds are lower than a standard full-field tournament, but they offer more stability.
• Matchup betting strips away the rest of the field with two golfers going head-to-head. Whichever player has the lowest score for the tournament, or a specific round, wins the bet.