Blue Jays at Yankees MLB Predictions

The regular season ended with the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees tied for the American League East championship. Toronto won the tiebreaker and earned a wild card bye.

Meanwhile, the Yankees beat the Boston Red Sox in the wild card series. New York won the final two games after losing Game 1 to Boston.

Now the Blue Jays and Yankees will settle things once and for all in 2025.

On Tuesday night, Yankee Stadium will host Game 3 of the American League Division Series with the Yankees favored in MLB betting odds.

In the first two games at Toronto, the Blue Jays bombarded the Yankees with wins of 10-1 in Game 1 and 13-7 in Game 2.

Blue Jays at Yankees Preview

On Tuesday, October 7, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY. Game time is 8:08 p.m. ET with television coverage on FS1.

The probable starting pitcher for Toronto is right-hander Shane Bieber. In 2025, Biber was 4-2 with a 3.57 earned run average with a 1.02 WHIP. Bieber was on the disabled list most of the season. Finally, he was activated on August 22.

The probable starting pitcher for New York is left-hander Carlos Rodon. In 2025, Rodon was 18-9 with a 3.09 earned run average and 1.05 WHIP.

Blue Jays at Yankees Predictions

• The Yankees are the most popular team on the board in the American League.

• New York consistently carries higher prices at home based on its brand and the mystique of Yankee Stadium.

• In a home playoff game against Toronto, New York won’t be as expensive as normal.

• New York was a solid home team this year and won two out of three at Yankee Stadium in the wild-card round.

• Toronto was not a reliable MLB betting value on the road this year.

• In this situation, New York offers more value.

Blue Jays at Yankees Best Bet: New York Yankees

Blue Jays at Yankees Betting Tips

• In the regular season, the Toronto Blue Jays were 94-68 and 40-41 on the road.

• Toronto was 86-71-5 over the total.

• The Blue Jays had MLB metrics of 4^th for run production, 3^rd for OPS, 11^th for home runs, and 28^th for stolen bases.

• Toronto ranked 19^th for earned run average, 16^th for WHIP, and 16^th for bullpen ERA.

• George Springer led the Blue Jays in the regular season with 105 runs, 32 home runs, 84 runs batted in, and a .959 OPS.

• So far in the playoffs, Vladimir Guerrero has three runs, two home runs, and six RBI with a 1.933 OPS.

• In the 2025 season, the Yankees finished with a 94-68 record and a 40-31 home record.

• New York was 76-84-5 under the total.

• New York ranked 1^st for run production, 1st for OPS, 1^st for home runs, and 9^th for stolen bases.

• New York ranked 14^th for earned run average, 12^th for WHIP, 24^th for fewest errors committed, and 23^rd for bullpen ERA.

• So far in five playoff games, Aaron Judge has not hit a home run after powering to 53 home runs in the regular season.

Blue Jays at Yankees Head-to-Head and Key Stats

• In the series between Toronto and New York, the Blue Jays won 11 of the most recent 20 meetings.

• The Yankees and Blue Jays went under the total in only seven of their last 20 matchups.

• Specifically, at Yankee Stadium, the Yankees got the cash in eight of their most recent 11 games against the Blue Jays.

• Only six of the last 20 games between the Blue Jays and Yankees at Yankee Stadium went over the total.

• Toronto was one of the most profitable teams in 2025 at +1677 units on the money line and +1494 against the run line.

• Toronto was -69 money line units on the road.

• The Yankees finished -559 units on the moneyline and -162 against the run line.

• New York was +8 moneyline units at home.