Benavidez vs Yarde Odds: Predictions, Picks & Betting Tips

The boxing world turns its attention to Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Saturday, November 22, 2025, when unbeaten David Benavidez (30–0, 24 KOs) defends his WBC light heavyweight crown against British contender Anthony Yarde (27–3, 24 KOs).

Benavidez, known for relentless pressure and high-volume combinations, faces a dangerous puncher in Yarde, whose explosive power and athleticism have carried him to the brink of world titles before.

This clash pits Benavidez’s durability and offensive engine against Yarde’s knockout threat, with both men entering off impressive wins. Fans can expect a stylistic collision: Benavidez’s suffocating pace against Yarde’s sharp counters and heavy right hand.

Benavidez vs. Yarde Fight Preview

David Benavidez has built his reputation on overwhelming opponents with constant aggression, averaging over 70 punches per round and breaking down foes with body shots and combinations. Standing 6’2” with a 74.5-inch reach, he uses his size to dictate distance while walking opponents down.

His recent move to light heavyweight showcased his adaptability, as he dominated Oleksandr Gvozdyk to claim the WBC belt. Anthony Yarde, meanwhile, is a compact powerhouse at 6’0” with a 72-inch reach. He thrives on explosive bursts, particularly his right cross and left hook, and has proven dangerous early in fights.

Yarde’s three career losses came against elite opposition — Sergey Kovalev, Lyndon Arthur, and Artur Beterbiev — but he showed resilience and improvement in each. This matchup is a classic test: Benavidez’s volume and stamina against Yarde’s power and athleticism.

Benavidez vs. Yarde Predictions

On paper, Benavidez enters as the clear favorite in boxing betting odds, and for good reason. His unbeaten record, relentless pace, and ability to absorb punishment make him a nightmare for opponents who rely on single-shot power. Yarde’s best chance lies in catching Benavidez early with a clean counter, as the Mexican-American champion can be hit during exchanges.

However, Yarde has historically faded in the later rounds, while Benavidez grows stronger as fights progress. Expect Yarde to have moments in the opening four rounds, particularly with his right hand, but Benavidez’s pressure should eventually wear him down. The prediction leans toward Benavidez by late stoppage, somewhere between rounds 8–11, as his body work and combinations overwhelm Yarde’s defenses.

Benavidez vs. Yarde Betting Tips

Boxing odds list Benavidez as a heavy favorite around -1250, with Yarde a sizeable underdog at +777. The moneyline offers little value on Benavidez straight up, but method-of-victory markets are more appealing. Benavidez by KO/TKO could be a better value and round betting angles suggest value in the 7–12 range, as Benavidez tends to break opponents down gradually rather than scoring quick knockouts.

For Yarde backers, the best play is Yarde by KO/TKO at long odds, since a decision win is highly unlikely given Benavidez’s durability and Yarde’s style. The over/under is set at 9.5 rounds with oddsmakers anticipating a finish by Benavidez in round 10.

Benavidez vs. Yarde Key Stats and Tale of the Tape

• David Benavidez: 30–0 (24 KOs), age 28, height 6’2”, reach 74.5”, orthodox stance. KO ratio: 80%. Known for high punch volume, body attack, and relentless pressure.

• Anthony Yarde: 27–3 (24 KOs), age 34, height 6’0”, reach 72”, orthodox stance. KO ratio: 89%. Explosive power, athletic bursts, but stamina questions in championship rounds.

• Records: Benavidez undefeated, multiple-time champion across super middleweight and light heavyweight. Yarde with three losses, all to world champions, but nearly dethroned Beterbiev in a valiant effort.

• Physical edge: Benavidez holds height and reach advantages, plus proven stamina. Yarde owns the higher KO percentage, making him dangerous early.

• Venue & Broadcast: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. DAZN PPV.

The tale of the tape underscores the stylistic clash: Benavidez’s size, volume, and durability against Yarde’s raw power and explosiveness. It’s a fight that promises fireworks, but the numbers favor Benavidez’s ability to impose his will over the distance.