Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings Picks

Two of the most difficult teams for gamblers to get a handle on are the Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings. And that is what makes their NBC Sunday Night Football matchup so intriguing.

The Falcons often show potential, but have still not learned how to become a consistent football team. Atlanta has still never recovered from their Super Bowl disaster against the New England Patriots, where it snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

The Vikings are an on-again, off-again playoff team that made the NFC playoffs last year with Sam Darnold as quarterback. Yet, the Vikings traded Darnold after the season, after attempting to trade him during the campaign. Now, JJ McCarthy is under center after missing his 2024 rookie season.

Falcons at Vikings Preview

On Sunday, September 14, 2025, the Minnesota Vikings will host the Atlanta Falcons at US Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff time is at 8:20 p.m. ET with television coverage on NBC.

Betting Factors Overview 

• The Falcons do not have a lot of popularity with the casual sector. Atlanta is not a public team. Thus, the Falcons are rarely overpriced and can offer enhanced value when they are on. The problem is that the Falcons are too inconsistent to take advantage.

• The Minnesota Vikings scare gamblers because of their wild swings each season. Minnesota is a team that often burns gamblers when they win them over, only to get the money after the betting public loses faith.

Falcons at Vikings Predictions

Handicapping Factors to Consider 

• The Falcons carry the baggage of a team that can’t quite pull themselves together. The public casual sector remains wary of the Falcons' inability to produce consistent results against the linemaker.

• The Vikings impressed the gambling public with their comeback Monday night win at Chicago. Minnesota seemed as good as dead, only to rally with an impressive payout.

• Atlanta is capable of winning the game and certainly covering the spread.

• The Falcons are a strong contrarian selection against the public.

Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings Prime Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons 

Falcons at Vikings Betting Tips

The Minnesota Vikings opened as a 4.5-point home favorite while Atlanta is a 4.5-point road dog.

The Falcons and Vikings opened with a total of 45.5.

On the moneyline, the Vikings opened as a -218 home favorite against Atlanta, which was listed as a +180 underdog.

Atlanta Falcons 

• Last game, the Atlanta Falcons lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20 as 1-point home dogs. The game went under the total of 47.5. As a result, the Falcons are 0-1 straight up, 0-1 against the spread, and 0-1 under the total.

• Atlanta ranks 10^th for total offense, 16^th for scoring offense, 9^th for total defense, and 21^st for points allowed.

• Atlanta drove into Buccaneers territory and nearly found the end zone again before S Antoine Winfield Jr. saved the day with a last-second hit on WR Casey Washington.

• Finally, the Falcons then sent K Younghoe Koo out to try a 44-yard game-tying field goal, but he pushed it wide right, costing Atlanta a winnable game.

Minnesota Vikings 

• Last Monday, the Minnesota Vikings beat the Chicago Bears 27-24 as 1-point road favorites. The game went over the total of 43.5. Minnesota is 1-0 straight up, 1-0 against the spread, and 1-0 over the total.

• Overall, Minnesota ranks 26^th for total offense, 7^th for scoring offense, 18^th for total defense, and 23^rd for points allowed.

Falcons at Vikings Head-to-Head and Key Stats

• On the road, the Falcons failed to get the money in five of their last 18 games.

• In away games, Atlanta went over the total in six of their most recent ten matchups.

• At home, the Vikings got the money in seven of their most recent nine games.

• In home matchups, Minnesota went under the total in six of their last nine matchups.

• Atlanta failed to cover the spread in only two of its most recent ten games with Minnesota.

• Seven of the last 11 games between Atlanta and Minnesota went under the total.

• Atlanta has covered its last three games at Minnesota.

• Four of the last five games between the Falcons and Vikings at Minnesota went under the total.